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2009年2月16日星期一

Are mustangs merely horses?

Mustangs in Utah
Image via Wikipedia
I just finished this month's issue of National Geographic Magazine and find, among other interesting or informative articles, a [story](http://ngm.nationalgeographic.com/2009/02/wild-horses/fuller-text/1) about mustangs in America's Old West especially thought-provoking. The article mourns about the shrinking habitat for mustangs ("wild horses" or feral horses) and possible loss of a valuable animal (I would reserve in saying it unique) and the spirit behind it.

The preservation of mustangs in my opinion has a larger symbolic purpose rather than a biological or ecological one. As pointed out in the NG article, the mustangs may very likely be the descendant of horses brought by Spanish *conquista* c. 1519. Genetically they may have little or none difference from the original Iberian species or other domestic species produced in the U.S. later. Preserve mustangs therefore is saving meme instead of saving gene, which is rare practice in animal conservation. Considering the huge investment in the conservation of mustangs, I think I have the right to ask as a by-stander: why don't the U.S. put the money to some better conservation use?

The difficulty in conservation lies in mustang's impressive ability to reproduce and extremely limited "wild" habitats nowadays. The authorization did what they can to control the total number of mustangs in the wild so as to make sure they do not graze the grassland into deserts and themselves to death. But this is criticized by people for reducing viability of the wild population. Some other people say that the population should be taken care of by Nature, to live the way they are supposed to be. However, such romantic imagination of Nature may not work in reality, as the habitat is so small and fragmented. All these creates a typical dilemma if you insist that mustangs are indeed a distinctive species that needs protection. Defeatist as it may sound like, I think feral horses should be left by themselves like feral dogs, and [euthanized](http://abcnews.go.com/Technology/AmazingAnimals/wireStory?id=6261967) in a controlled manner if necessary.

"The Cow Boy"
Image via Wikipedia
All this talk because mustangs are not genetically distinctive to be called as a species. On the other hand, it may sound tyrannical, even unethical, to judge an animal's conservation value merely by their genes. As a population, mustangs do have their culture values that cannot be replaced by purely domestic horses, despite their identical genes. This is just like the value of most human populations is not their genetic uniqueness, but their culture. But to extend the analogy a bit further, we can easily find that the unsuccessful strategy used to conserve mustangs is deemed to be a failure just like such a strategy used to protect a culture. You cannot protect a human population by taking samples from them regularly and put them in a so-called reserved area. The only way for a mustang or human population to be viable is to guarantee them the way of life they are used to and deserve. Different from protecting a human population, it is ethical and necessary to cull existing mustang population and re-introduce their predators into the wildness of the west. As it was mankind who broke the coyote/wolf-horse equilibrium out of balance, now mankind also have the duty to re-introduce the equilibrium, or at least create a human-horse equilibrium, i.e. artificially control mustang population. Failing to do that, all efforts to preserve mustang population and culture would be self-defeating.

To make the equilibrium happen, and to serve other many important ends, it is of paramount importance to conserve a valid wildness. It may not be free from human interference, but should be able to support a viable wild horse population and the ecosystem they are in. Indeed, the need to preserve mustang culture can be itself an emotionally powerful driver for advocating conservation of habitats. But if local stakeholders finds the idea of saving mustangs not so appealing, maybe the authorization can a) find another proxy wildlife to achieve the same goal, or b) persuade local people to accept mustangs as a healthy symbol and a worthy backup gene bank that can be used to strengthen their own livestock. Option (b) seems to be an easier way, and the NG article no doubt does it good.

Now I can't help thinking, if we Chinese linked Chinese sturgeon *Acipenser sinensis* with something more meaningful rather than saying in our dictionaries that it is edible, perhaps Yangtze River as an important habitat would be better protected.

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links for 2009-02-16

2009年2月12日星期四

中美能源合作的新契机

英国《卫报》[报道](http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/feb/11/network-us-china-climate-change),中美两国50多名专家日前起草了一份报告,旨在为奥巴马政府提供一份与中国在能源和减排技术领域进行合作的路线图。这份报告是由亚洲协会美中关系中心和 Pew 全球气候变化中心发布的,全文可以在 Pew 中心的网站[下载](http://www.pewclimate.org/US-China)。

报告指出了两国可以开展合作的五大方向,包括发展低排放煤炭能源技术,提高能源效率和改善节能措施,开发先进电网技术,推广可再生能源,以及投入资金发展低碳技术。报告指出,虽然目前的经济形势对大规模的环境投资造成了压力,但高额的基础设施建设投资和经济刺激方案也能带来改变现有能源体系的难得契机,同时造就大量的[“绿领”](http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/feb/12/green-collar-jobs-environment)工作岗位,可谓一举多得。报告认为,中国和美国作为世界上最大的发展中国家和发达国家,以及最大的能源消费国和温室气体排放国,如果能够在气候变化问题上展开合作,将对哥本哈根会议之后的气候问题格局乃至更广泛意义上的世界格局都产生积极的影响。

这一合作能否实现,取决于双方是否愿意参与,以及投入到什么程度。从美国的角度推测,对中国进行适当的技术出口将有利于形成积极面对气候问题的国际形象,在未来的气候谈判中获得有利地位。但在有限的资金和高昂的外债负担条件下,在经济不景气的时期美国能够投入多少资金到低碳项目和风险巨大的新技术验证项目的建设当中还是未知数。而中国能够通过合作获得的技术看起来相当有吸引力,但美国对于知识产权的顾虑也可能对技术的转移产生不利影响。更重要的是,中国是否能将发展可持续能源与发展欠发达地区的目标统一起来。

从政治经济的角度说,合作如果能够实现,将是中国在未来国际上进一步提升影响力的契机,同时可能对西方的经济复苏产生积极影响,甚至使[世界经济重心向东方迁移](http://davidharvey.org/2009/02/why-the-us-stimulus-package-is-bound-to-fail/)。

links for 2009-02-12

2009年2月9日星期一

Carbon Trade 的问题

最近碳排放权交易方案在欧盟又成为了热门话题,部分原因是即将于年底在哥本哈根召开的[气候峰会](http://en.cop15.dk/),更重要的原因是越来越多的人对这个方案的效果提出了质疑。就连一向支持碳排放权交易的能源公司发言人也指责碳交易有可能[成为新的次级投资](http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/jan/30/eu-carbon-trading-scheme),更有人提出应该将碳交易制度[全盘推翻](http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2009/feb/01/emissionstrading-carbonoffsetprojects)。碳交易制度面临的问题,反映了将二氧化碳作为金融产品带入经济活动的过程中的困难。由于各种单位产值不同的经济活动都会产生数量不等的碳排放,为了建立一个实际可运行的统一碳市场,只有人为地规定配额和单位碳排放的价值。这个定价已经多次被指责为脱离了市场经济的实际,因此欧盟在去年底降低了配额总量,以确保碳排放的价值不会降低到损害减排积极性的水平。但时隔不久,碳交易价格就[再度崩溃](http://www.guardian.co.uk/environment/2009/feb/07/cost-carbon-credits-falls)。当前的经济形势决定了碳排放的总量在没有有意干预的情况下也会降低,而碳配额没有对此及时作出反应,使得大部分碳交易的参与者都有排放权可供出售,造成市场崩盘。在一般的市场活动中不待见计划经济的欧盟,在碳交易市场的设计上好像倒不自觉地采用了计划经济的手段,试图制定一个统一的碳排放帽子(cap)来处理纷繁复杂的经济活动,结果吃力不讨好。

如果说一个不合适的碳配额拖延了减排进程的话,那么欧盟[排放交易制度](http://ec.europa.eu/environment/climat/emission.htm)(ETS)规定的可以用发展低碳能源和生产技术替代实际减排的做法可能实际上会导致企业离减排目标越来越远。通过允许世界各国用京都会议规定的清洁发展机制(Clean Development Mechanism, CDM)节能项目来换取碳排放配额,ETS 实际上允许企业一边建设利用可持续能源的手段,一方面用换来的碳配额继续发展高排放的工业和项目。从理论上说,ETS 是把不该内部化的企业用于减排的投资内部化了,这部分投资的收益应该体现在减少的碳排放费用,但现在可以反而用来换取更多的配额和金钱。欧盟在减排问题上想当世界领头羊的愿望,这次让他们制定了一个自挖墙脚的政策。

ETS 制度关于换取排放配额的规定可以改变,但是计划经济式的总配额要改进很困难。比较可行的也许是碳税制度,不过在目前的经济环境下,碳税带来的消费减少的副作用,又跟各国政府刺激消费的手段背道而驰。当然,刺激消费还有别的办法,推动减排的办法却不多,而且科学界早已指出,[信贷危机不应阻碍对气候变化采取行动](http://www.newscientist.com/blogs/shortsharpscience/2009/02/fred-pearce-senior-environment.html)。

links for 2009-02-09